和仕芳,赵正贤,张方浩,等. 基于公里格网的云南昭通地震灾害风险评估[J]. 华北地震科学,2023, 41(4):16-26. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.04.003.
引用本文: 和仕芳,赵正贤,张方浩,等. 基于公里格网的云南昭通地震灾害风险评估[J]. 华北地震科学,2023, 41(4):16-26. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.04.003.
HE Shifang,ZHAO Zhengxian,ZHANG Fanghao,et al. Earthquake Risk Assessment in Zhaotong, Yunnan Province Based on the 1 km Grid Cell[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences,2023, 41(4):16-26. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.04.003.
Citation: HE Shifang,ZHAO Zhengxian,ZHANG Fanghao,et al. Earthquake Risk Assessment in Zhaotong, Yunnan Province Based on the 1 km Grid Cell[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences,2023, 41(4):16-26. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.04.003.

基于公里格网的云南昭通地震灾害风险评估

Earthquake Risk Assessment in Zhaotong, Yunnan Province Based on the 1 km Grid Cell

  • 摘要: 以1 km格网为评价单元,利用地震灾害风险普查成果——基于遥感影像和经验估计的房屋抗震能力初判成果数据,选取人口、经济、高程、地震动参数、断层距、房屋抗震能力6个地震灾害风险评估指标,采用熵权法评估昭通地震灾害综合风险等级;结合历史震例,基于昭通地区房屋易损性矩阵、震亡比与房屋毁坏率之间的经验公式,在1 km格网尺度上估算了昭通地震经济损失风险值与人员死亡风险值,为区域地震灾害风险防治提供参考依据。

     

    Abstract: Taking the 1 km grid cell as the evaluation unit, using the results of the earthquake disaster risk survey — the preliminary evaluation results of building earthquake capacity based on remote sensing images and empirical estimation, six earthquake disaster risk evaluation indexes, including population, economy, elevation, ground motion parameters, fault distance and seismic capacity of building, were selected. Then, the entropy weight method was used to evaluate the comprehensive risk level of Zhaotong earthquake disaster. According to historical earthquake, based on the seismic vulnerability matrix of building and the empirical relationship between earthquake death ratio and house destruction rate in Zhaotong area, we estimate the values at economic loss and casualties risk in Zhaotong earthquake at the spatial scale of 1 km grid. The evaluation results can provide decision-making criteria for earthquake disaster risk prevention and control.

     

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