张清荣, 李文英, 曹宗普. 综合短临前兆信息与地震发生时间的预测[J]. 华北地震科学, 1993, 11(1): 45-51.
引用本文: 张清荣, 李文英, 曹宗普. 综合短临前兆信息与地震发生时间的预测[J]. 华北地震科学, 1993, 11(1): 45-51.
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Zhang Qingrong, Li Wgnying, Cao Zong pu. THE COMPREHENSIVE SHORT-TERM AND IMMINENT PRECURSORY INFORMATION AND PREDICTION OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE TIME[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1993, 11(1): 45-51.
Citation: Zhang Qingrong, Li Wgnying, Cao Zong pu. THE COMPREHENSIVE SHORT-TERM AND IMMINENT PRECURSORY INFORMATION AND PREDICTION OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE TIME[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1993, 11(1): 45-51.
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综合短临前兆信息与地震发生时间的预测

THE COMPREHENSIVE SHORT-TERM AND IMMINENT PRECURSORY INFORMATION AND PREDICTION OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE TIME

    摘要
  • 摘要: 本文在华北震例资料的基础上,从系统整体演变的观点对M>5级地震前半年内的13个指标进行了追踪分析研究,计算了综合信息量参数P,在P随时间演变的过程中提取出异常变化优势时段,并在优势段中找出P加速的时刻组成离散的时间序列建立灰色预测模型,进而预测出发震时间。

     

    Abstract: In this paper, based on the data of earthquake examples in North China, a tracing study of 13 indexes within half a year before M>5 earthquakes is madet the dominant time interval of anomalous variation is extracted in the course of P evolution with time, and in the dominant time interval we can find the time of P acceleration to form time sequence and to establish a grey prediction model t and then the earthquake occurrence time is predicted.

     

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