杨红樱,罗恒之,张帆,等. 银川窗与鄂尔多斯块体西北缘中强地震的关系[J]. 华北地震科学,2023, 41(3):97-100. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.03.014.
引用本文: 杨红樱,罗恒之,张帆,等. 银川窗与鄂尔多斯块体西北缘中强地震的关系[J]. 华北地震科学,2023, 41(3):97-100. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.03.014.
YANG Hongying,LUO Hengzhi,ZHANG Fan,et al. The Relationship between the Yinchuan Seismic Window and Moderate-strong Earthquakes in the Northwestern Margin of the Ordos Block[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences,2023, 41(3):97-100. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.03.014.
Citation: YANG Hongying,LUO Hengzhi,ZHANG Fan,et al. The Relationship between the Yinchuan Seismic Window and Moderate-strong Earthquakes in the Northwestern Margin of the Ordos Block[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences,2023, 41(3):97-100. doi:10.3969/j.issn.1003−1375.2023.03.014.

银川窗与鄂尔多斯块体西北缘中强地震的关系

The Relationship between the Yinchuan Seismic Window and Moderate-strong Earthquakes in the Northwestern Margin of the Ordos Block

  • 摘要: 为了提取鄂尔多斯块体西北缘中强地震的有效预测指标,通过识别银川地区不同震级、不同范围的小震活动窗口,开展R值和molchan方法评估,选取出有预测意义的地震窗。结果显示:ML4银川窗地震活动对鄂尔多斯块体西北缘6级左右地震有较好的指示意义;ML3银川窗小震滑动年频次大于2时,对鄂尔多斯块体西北缘未来1年发生5级以上地震有较好的指示意义。

     

    Abstract: In order to extract the effective prediction index for moderate-strong earthquakes in the northwestern margin of Ordos block, small earthquake activity windows of different magnitudes and ranges are analyzed in Yinchuan area, a seismic window with predictive significance is selected by calculating the R value and molchan test. The results show that the seismic activity of ML4 Yinchuan window has a good indication for earthquakes with magnitude ~ 6 in the northwestern margin of the Ordos block. When the annual frequency of ML3 seismic activity of the Yinchuan seismic window is greater than 2, it has a good indication for the occurrence of earthquakes with magnitude greater than or equal to 5 in the northwestern margin of the Ordos block in the next year.

     

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