武敏捷, 朱红彬, 岳晓媛, 林向东, 李红. 基于多地震活动参数的首都圈地区地震危险性分析[J]. 华北地震科学, 2013, 31(1): 25-30. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-1375.2013.01.005
引用本文: 武敏捷, 朱红彬, 岳晓媛, 林向东, 李红. 基于多地震活动参数的首都圈地区地震危险性分析[J]. 华北地震科学, 2013, 31(1): 25-30. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-1375.2013.01.005
WU Min-jie, ZHU Hong-bin, YUE Xiao-yuan, LIN Xiang-dong, LI Hong. Analysis on Potential Earthquake Risk of Capital Zone Based on Multiple Seismicity Parameters[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 2013, 31(1): 25-30. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-1375.2013.01.005
Citation: WU Min-jie, ZHU Hong-bin, YUE Xiao-yuan, LIN Xiang-dong, LI Hong. Analysis on Potential Earthquake Risk of Capital Zone Based on Multiple Seismicity Parameters[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 2013, 31(1): 25-30. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-1375.2013.01.005

基于多地震活动参数的首都圈地区地震危险性分析

Analysis on Potential Earthquake Risk of Capital Zone Based on Multiple Seismicity Parameters

  • 摘要: 根据首都圈近32年的区域台网地震资料,采用b值空间分布及断裂带分段的多地震活动参数值组合分析方法,结合首都圈历史及现今地震活动背景,分析首都圈现今地震活动特征,综合判定处于相对高应力和闭锁状态的断裂段。研究结果表明,张渤地震带陆地段各段落的总体b值均低于山西地震带各段落的b值,反映张渤地震带陆地段总体应力水平高于山西地震带,bn、√Ea/b四个参数值的组合特征提示,今后应注意延怀盆地发生中强地震的危险。

     

    Abstract: With the Seismic catalog from regional seismic network in the last 32 years, we calculated the b value.Based on the spatial distribution of b value and previous studies of fault segmentation, we calculated the multiple seismicity parameter values.Associating with historical and current seismicity background of Capital zone, we analyzed the current seismicity characteristics, and obtained the fault segments that relatively are in high stress and locking phase.The results show that:each segment's value of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault land part is lower than the segments of Shanxi fault zone, which suggest the stress level of Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault land part is higher than the Shanxi fault zone.After analyzing the combination features of the, n, and four parameters, we believed that the future occurrence risk of moderate-strong earthquake in Yan-huai basin should be pay more attention to.

     

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