王广军, 周锡元, 苏经宇. 烈度衰减规律的不确定性分析[J]. 华北地震科学, 1988, 6(2): 17-25.
引用本文: 王广军, 周锡元, 苏经宇. 烈度衰减规律的不确定性分析[J]. 华北地震科学, 1988, 6(2): 17-25.
Wang Guangjun, Zhou Xiyuan, Su jingyu. UNCERTAINTY ANALYSES OF INTENSITY ATTENUATION FOR CHINESE EARTHQUAKES[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1988, 6(2): 17-25.
Citation: Wang Guangjun, Zhou Xiyuan, Su jingyu. UNCERTAINTY ANALYSES OF INTENSITY ATTENUATION FOR CHINESE EARTHQUAKES[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1988, 6(2): 17-25.

烈度衰减规律的不确定性分析

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSES OF INTENSITY ATTENUATION FOR CHINESE EARTHQUAKES

  • 摘要: 本文对我国的历史地震的等震线图进行了统计分析,指出在给定箴中烈度I0的条件下,影响烈度I大于给定值i的距离分布基本上符合对数正态分布,表2中给出了相应的均值μ(I0,i)和标准差σ(I0,i)。为了将上述统计结果与目前常用的平均烈度衰减公式:I=c1+c2I0-c3ln(R+R0)相联系,文中还将所获得的μ(I0,i)按以上公式进行回归分析,结果得到表3中所示的系数。本文提供的结果可用于地震危险性分析和烈度区划。

     

    Abstract: In this paper, staistical analyses of isoseisms of historic earthquakes have been done.It is pointed out that the distance distribution of influencing intensity I that is greater than a specified value under condition of given epicentral intensity I0 basically follows log-normal distribution whose expectation value μ(I0,I) and standard variance σ(I0,I) are determined as shown in Table 2.In order to relate the statistical results with the cirrently used formula of average intensity atteauation I=C1+C2I0-C3ln(R+R0), the regres sion analysis of μ(I0,I)'s obtained by this study are also done. As results, the coefficients of the regression expresion have been obtained and listed in Table 3. The results shown in this paper can be used in seismic risk analysis and inensity zoning.

     

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