谢华章. b值数字模拟的再研究[J]. 华北地震科学, 1991, 9(1): 28-34.
引用本文: 谢华章. b值数字模拟的再研究[J]. 华北地震科学, 1991, 9(1): 28-34.
Xie Huazhang. RESTUDY OF NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF B VALUE[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1991, 9(1): 28-34.
Citation: Xie Huazhang. RESTUDY OF NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF B VALUE[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1991, 9(1): 28-34.

b值数字模拟的再研究

RESTUDY OF NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF B VALUE

  • 摘要: 在文献7的基础上,本文用数字模拟方法对最大似然估值đ的性质进行了比较详细的研究。结果表明,除震级范围(M2-M1)和分档间隔△M外,真值b本身的大小对估值đ的偏差程度也有一定的影响。指出đ是b的一致、渐近有效和渐近无偏估计值,而且收敛速度相当快。对于真值b=0.80,当参与统计的地震数N=20,估值đ的偏差和均方误差即已基本稳定在+0.04和0.20左右。因此在地震频度不高的地区,用最大似然法进行b值的日常测定是比较适宜的。

     

    Abstract: In this paper, based on Reference 7, a relatively detailed study is made on the nature of maximum likelihood estimated value b by mumerical simulation.The result shows that in addition to magnitude range (M2-M1) and graded interval △M, the size of real value b itself also has a certain effect on deviation of estimated value b.It is pointed out that b is a consistent, asymptotic effective and asymptotic non-deviatoric estimated value of b, and the convergence rate is rather fast.For real value b=0.80, at the statistical earthquake number N=20,the deviation and mean square error of estimated value b are basically stabilized at about+0.04 and 0.20.So in the areas Where earthquake frequencies are not high, it is reasonable to make routine measurement of b value by maximum likelihood method.

     

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