戴英华, 金学申. 动态预报方法在地震预报中的应用[J]. 华北地震科学, 1994, 12(4): 42-46.
引用本文: 戴英华, 金学申. 动态预报方法在地震预报中的应用[J]. 华北地震科学, 1994, 12(4): 42-46.
Dai Yinghua, Jin Xueshen. THE APPLICATION OF THE DYNAMIC PREDICTION METHOD IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTOIN[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1994, 12(4): 42-46.
Citation: Dai Yinghua, Jin Xueshen. THE APPLICATION OF THE DYNAMIC PREDICTION METHOD IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTOIN[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1994, 12(4): 42-46.

动态预报方法在地震预报中的应用

THE APPLICATION OF THE DYNAMIC PREDICTION METHOD IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTOIN

  • 摘要: 应用一种动态系统预报方法来进行地震预报的研究。该方法的长处在于时变系统预报,当进行这类预报时,首先是对时变参数进行预报,在此基础上再对系统进行预报。同时,这方法还可容纳对输出有不同延迟时间的输入量,这对各种前兆在时间轴分布的不均一特征,是一种较为合理的模型方法。本文计算了若干种预报模型,并对它们的结果进行了分析与讨论。

     

    Abstract: In this paper, the research of the earthqrake prediction has been made by a dynamic system prediction method. The strong point of this method lies in time-variation system prediction. The first step, for this method, is the prediction of the time variation paremeters, then the prediction for the system isprocessed based on the results of the paremeters. It is permited for the method to have different inputwith different delay time to output. So it is a suitable model for the various precursors that have shownun-uniform tempal distribution. In this paper, the results of the several models obtained have beenanalysed and discussed.

     

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