由昆仑山口西8.1级地震分析中国大陆1~3年地震大形势

基金项目: 中国地震局"十五"科技攻关计划01-04-01子专题经费资助

详细信息

ANALYSIS TO THE EARTHQUAKE SITUATION WITHIN 1 TO 3 YEARS IN MAINLAND OF CHINA FROM THE WEST KUNLUN MOUNTAIN PASS M8.1 EARTHQUAKE

摘要: 在昆仑山口西8.1级地震震前分析基础上,对该次地震对中国大陆地震活动趋势的影响进行了分析,认为这次地震是20世纪以来第五活跃幕闭幕阶段的最大地震,据震前3年地震活动类比等推测,未来3年内中国大陆西部仍可能发生7级以上地震,东部地区可能发生少量6级地震。
- 昆仑山 /
- 中国大陆 /
- 地震活动趋势
Abstract: The influence of West Kunlun Mountain Pass M8.1 earthquake on theseismicity in the mainland of China is analyzed.We conclude this earthquake is the largest one occurred in mainland at the end of the fifth active stage.Expected from analogy of seismicity in previous 3 years, some M≥7.0 earthquakes may occur in the western part of China in future three years, and M≥6.0 events may occur in the eastern part of China.
- large earthquake /
- earthquake tendency /
- the mainland of China

[1]	国家地震局分析预报中心.中国地震大形势预测研究(1)[M]. 北京:地震出版社, 1990, 1-187.
[2]	国家地震局分析预报中心.中国地震大形势预测研究(2)[M]. 北京:地震出版社, 1993,. 1-119.
[3]	高旭,丁鉴海,尹祥础,黄德瑜,李献智,黎令仪,郑大林. 关于今后3年(1995~1997)我国强震形势及重点危险区的预测研究. 中国地震趋势预测研究(1995年度)[M].北京:地震出版社1994, 1-19.