陈绍绪, 李淑莲, 张跃刚, 张子广. 2000年6月25日唐山4.4级地震预测实践[J]. 华北地震科学, 2000, 18(4): 53-57.
引用本文: 陈绍绪, 李淑莲, 张跃刚, 张子广. 2000年6月25日唐山4.4级地震预测实践[J]. 华北地震科学, 2000, 18(4): 53-57.
Chen Shaoxu, Li Shulian, Zhang Yuegang, Zhang Ziguang. PREDICTION TO THE TANGSHANG ML 4.4 EARTHQUAKE OCCURRED IN JUN 25 OF 2000[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 2000, 18(4): 53-57.
Citation: Chen Shaoxu, Li Shulian, Zhang Yuegang, Zhang Ziguang. PREDICTION TO THE TANGSHANG ML 4.4 EARTHQUAKE OCCURRED IN JUN 25 OF 2000[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 2000, 18(4): 53-57.

2000年6月25日唐山4.4级地震预测实践

PREDICTION TO THE TANGSHANG ML 4.4 EARTHQUAKE OCCURRED IN JUN 25 OF 2000

  • 摘要: 2000年6月25日在唐山市古冶发生ML4.4地震。此次地震前唐山老震区4级地震平静13个月,频度、b值、缺震曲线、η值均出现一定程度异常,特别是6月15日在陡河附近发生了一次小震群,最大震级为3.4级,还出现了承德地倾斜、宽城地倾斜、玉田深井水位、河间马17深井水位等短临前兆异常。为此,河北省地震局分析预报中心提出了准确的预测意见

     

    Abstract: A ML4.4 earthquake occurred in Guye of Tangshan area in Jun 25,2000.The seismicity over 4 magnitude has been quiet for 13 months before the event.The frequency,b value,earthquake absent curve and η value all showed some anomalies.Especially a microearthquake group occurred in the vicinity of Douhe in Jun 15.The largest magnitude is ML3.4.The precusory approaches also showed some imminent anomalies,such as Chengde and Kuancheng ground tilt,Yutian and Hejian Ma-17 wells' underground water level.Based on those anomalies,Center for Analysis and prediction of Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province predicted the event accurately.

     

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