华北地区强震复发的概率分布
THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAK RECURRENCE IN NORTH CHINA AREA
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摘要: 木文利用华北地区6级以上历史地震资料,通过贝叶斯(Bayes)公式的计算,给出了该地区未来强震发生的概率分布,可供地震监测预报人员参考。Abstract: In this paer, the probability distribution of the future strong earthquake occurrence in North China aree is presented by using the historical carthquakes(M≥6) data in this area and through Bayes formula calculation, which can provide a reference for the people for earthquake monitoring and prediction.