刘鼎文. 从耗散结构论、协同论、突变论观点讨论断层演化问题——断层演化系统的自组织与地震预报[J]. 华北地震科学, 1989, 7(1): 1-9.
引用本文: 刘鼎文. 从耗散结构论、协同论、突变论观点讨论断层演化问题——断层演化系统的自组织与地震预报[J]. 华北地震科学, 1989, 7(1): 1-9.
Liu Dingwen. A DISCUSSION OF FAULT EVOLUTION PROBLEM IN VIEW POINT OF DISSIPATIVE STRUCTUREL THEORY, SYNERGETCS AND CATASTROPHE THEORY-SELF-ORGANIZATION IN FAULT EVOLUTION SYSTEM AND EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1989, 7(1): 1-9.
Citation: Liu Dingwen. A DISCUSSION OF FAULT EVOLUTION PROBLEM IN VIEW POINT OF DISSIPATIVE STRUCTUREL THEORY, SYNERGETCS AND CATASTROPHE THEORY-SELF-ORGANIZATION IN FAULT EVOLUTION SYSTEM AND EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1989, 7(1): 1-9.

从耗散结构论、协同论、突变论观点讨论断层演化问题——断层演化系统的自组织与地震预报

A DISCUSSION OF FAULT EVOLUTION PROBLEM IN VIEW POINT OF DISSIPATIVE STRUCTUREL THEORY, SYNERGETCS AND CATASTROPHE THEORY-SELF-ORGANIZATION IN FAULT EVOLUTION SYSTEM AND EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

  • 摘要: 本文讨论了断层系统演化过程的耗散性、协同性、突变性,阐明了断层演化系统的自组织,并以此为基础,论述了断层演化系统自组织对地震预报的意义。作者认为,断层演化系统的自组织,才是地震预报根本的物理基础。基于上述讨论,本文最后结合Thom的A3类尖交变(CuspCatas trophe),给出了地震发生的实际例子。

     

    Abstract: In this daper, the dissipative structure, synergetic and catastrophic characters of the evolution of fault system are discussed, the self-organization in fault evolution is expounded, and based on this, the significance of self-organization of fault evolution system in earthquake predi-ction is stated. The auther suggestes that the sef-organization of fault evolution system is the cardinal physical base for earthquake predi ction. Finally, basing on above-mentloned discussion, some earthquake exampl-es are given in terms of Thorns type A3 cusp catastrophe.

     

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